![]() ![]() ![]() Meaning you can expect 2 or 3 new cards each round. If you truly wanted to know how many cards you can expect each turn, you can divide by 36, and multiply by the number of players (the number of times the dice will be rolled between each of your turns).Ī typical starting position will offer you about 21.0 expected return, so: If you were to roll the dice 36 times, you would expect those numbers to come out 5 times each ( on average). So we can use them as a direct proxy for the expected return of our analysis.įor example, the 6 and the 8 are the most commonly rolled numbers on the Catan board. The dots represent how many times on average this number will be rolled out of 36 rolls of dice. This way, all hexes are of the same interest, their associated probabilities of paying out being the only thing that differentiates them.
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